Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 2257.073625 2444.212223 2632.442403 2835.650206 3048.516566 3264.604537 3500.236835
2025-12-14 1929.981899 2208.273143 2497.527778 2819.403223 3166.368123 3527.981802 3932.213292
2025-12-21 1689.492395 2019.940740 2372.362301 2773.653155 3215.444763 3684.663036 4218.362331
2025-12-28 1605.099485 1985.613503 2399.502959 2878.949097 3414.977014 3992.026535 4656.433006
2026-01-04 1501.075472 1917.672449 2379.212244 2922.313563 3537.961667 4208.683530 4989.196175
2026-01-11 1392.198012 1834.992489 2334.277758 2930.536144 3615.146218 4369.166821 5255.059230
2026-01-18 1296.861627 1761.050293 2293.241085 2937.559879 3686.046745 4518.552554 5505.043262
2026-01-25 1212.987958 1695.091239 2256.650198 2945.299712 3753.960799 4661.486015 5745.195984
2026-02-01 1121.186223 1614.047937 2197.538651 2922.392955 3782.746873 4756.821929 5928.767768
2026-02-08 1051.037167 1555.664212 2162.127978 2924.439408 3838.015225 4880.473623 6143.019574
2026-02-15 975.553562 1486.455544 2110.079818 2903.414325 3863.431964 4967.454881 6313.328762
2026-02-22 936.948644 1462.244155 2111.639995 2945.780389 3963.007913 5140.045633 6582.299212
2026-03-01 881.634601 1414.750644 2083.529586 2952.044122 4020.425332 5265.158826 6799.030633
2026-03-08 820.210982 1356.251382 2039.274609 2936.569516 4050.348552 5357.160370 6976.880142
2026-03-15 750.055640 1282.237951 1972.063264 2889.647282 4039.618276 5398.992746 7094.122959
2026-03-22 748.946905 1302.996388 2027.618078 2997.691272 4219.427935 5669.102022 7482.372365
2026-03-29 722.657665 1287.001505 2033.874741 3042.176443 4320.190899 5844.066015 7757.665040
2026-04-05 684.107348 1251.648195 2012.983717 3050.610830 4375.221776 5963.251747 7966.107412
2026-04-12 647.585133 1217.369705 1992.076134 3057.815317 4427.800879 6078.862020 8169.935965
2026-04-19 613.615938 1185.122754 1972.578885 3065.754146 4480.479294 6194.061199 8372.997197
2026-04-26 570.783376 1137.465082 1930.273985 3042.257880 4492.191136 6258.274475 8513.904066
2026-05-03 539.194804 1105.277966 1908.097501 3044.357069 4535.688126 6361.012826 8701.178096
2026-05-10 501.856505 1062.227624 1869.178684 3022.789540 4547.823778 6424.274533 8839.913825